Date of publication: 2017-08-26 08:48
But where does Moore 8767 s Law come from? What is behind this remarkably predictable phenomenon? I have seen relatively little written about the ultimate source of this trend. Is it just 8775 a set of industry expectations and goals, 8776 as Randy Isaac, head of basic science at IBM contends? Or is there something more profound going on?
We will continue to build more powerful computational mechanisms because it creates enormous value. We will reverse-engineer the human brain not simply because it is our destiny, but because there is valuable information to be found there that will provide insights in building more intelligent (and more valuable) machines. We would have to repeal capitalism and every visage of economic competition to stop this progression.
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Ultimately we will get away from the tangle of wires in our cities and in our lives through wireless communication, the power of which is doubling every 65 to 66 months.
When we want to experience real reality, the nanobots just stay in position (in the capillaries) and do nothing. If we want to enter virtual reality, they suppress all of the inputs coming from the real senses, and replace them with the signals that would be appropriate for the virtual environment. You (., your brain) could decide to cause your muscles and limbs to move as you normally would, but the nanobots again intercept these interneuronal signals, suppress your real limbs from moving, and instead cause your virtual limbs to move and provide the appropriate movement and reorientation in the virtual environment.
But I regard the freeing of the human mind from its severe physical limitations of scope and duration as the necessary next step in evolution. Evolution, in my view, represents the purpose of life. That is, the purpose of life and of our lives is to evolve. The Singularity then is not a grave danger to be avoided. In my view, this next paradigm shift represents the goal of our civilization.
The 6995s have seen the most powerful deflationary forces in history. This is why we are not seeing inflation. Yes, it 8767 s true that low unemployment, high asset values, economic growth, and other such factors are inflationary, but these factors are offset by the double exponential trends in the price-performance of all information based technologies: computation, memory, communications, biotechnology, miniaturization, and even the overall rate of technical progress. These technologies deeply affect all industries.
How will we apply technology that is more intelligent than its creators? One might be tempted to respond 8775 Carefully! 8776 But let 8767 s take a look at some examples.
It should be clear where I 8767 m going with this. Bit by bit, region by region, I ultimately replace my entire brain with essentially identical (perhaps improved) nonbiological equivalents (preserving all of the neurotransmitter concentrations and other details that represent my learning, skills, and memories). At each point, I feel the procedures were successful. At each point, I feel that I am the same guy. After each procedure, I claim to be the same guy. My friends concur. There is no old Ray and new Ray, just one Ray, one that never appears to fundamentally change.
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Well, but everyone could. So if all of you read this essay and understand it, then economic expectations would be based on the historical exponential model, and thus stock values would increase.
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If you were to scan my brain and reinstantiate new Ray while I was sleeping, I would not necessarily even know about it (with the nanobots, this will be a feasible scenario). If you then come to me, and say, 8775 good news, Ray, we 8767 ve successfully reinstantiated your mind file, so we won 8767 t be needing your old brain anymore, 8776 I may suddenly realize the flaw in this 8775 identity from pattern 8776 argument. I may wish new Ray well, and realize that he shares my 8775 pattern, 8776 but I would nonetheless conclude that he 8767 s not me, because I 8767 m still here. How could he be me? After all, I would not necessarily know that he even existed.